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Red87
81830.9
81521.1
562319.5
Blue10
609913.4
25919.7
575617.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625802040801001201401608710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#9
30.91.8
21.123.0
Auto7.1
Teleop19.0
End4.8
red by 13.2
5756
#26
17.73.1
24.020.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Second
815
#20
21.12.0
20.622.7
Auto2.9
Teleop13.3
End4.9
red by 7.7
6099
#29
13.46.5
16.910.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Third
5623
#23
19.53.0
18.021.0
Auto7.9
Teleop7.0
End4.7
red by 9.8
2591
#35DQ
9.75.2
17.512.3
Auto2.0
Teleop6.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed