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Red85
609613.9
50331.5
575617.7
Blue76
339822.0
55326.9
505331.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575902040801001201408576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#17
31.51.6
26.928.4
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End8.0
red by 0.3
31.30.2
30.130.3
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End4.3
Second
5756
#26
17.71.3
15.716.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End2.5
blue by 4.3
3398
#15
22.00.3
21.722.0
Auto10.2
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Third
6096
#32
13.91.6
13.214.7
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End2.4
red by 6.9
5532
#33
6.90.3
5.55.9
Auto1.2
Teleop6.3
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed