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Red42
81521.1
317516.9
609613.9
Blue75
45321.7
481114.3
556732.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5273204060801001201404275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#20
21.10.8
21.620.8
Auto2.9
Teleop13.3
End4.9
blue by 11.6
32.70.6
33.033.5
Auto8.6
Teleop16.5
End7.6
Second
3175
#25
16.90.8
17.516.7
Auto0.8
Teleop14.1
End2.1
blue by 4.7
453
#14
21.70.5
20.821.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End4.0
Third
6096
#32
13.90.9
14.713.9
Auto2.4
Teleop9.1
End2.4
blue by 0.4
4811
#27
14.30.6
13.714.3
Auto1.7
Teleop9.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed