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Red40
521415.0
25919.7
450712.1
Blue71
562319.5
204822.3
30968.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34510204060801004071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5214
#39
15.00.3
14.715.0
Auto2.3
Teleop11.3
End1.5
blue by 7.3
2048
#28
22.30.9
20.921.9
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End2.4
Second
4507
#36
12.10.3
11.812.1
Auto1.5
Teleop8.6
End2.0
blue by 7.4
5623
#23
19.51.0
18.319.3
Auto7.9
Teleop7.0
End4.7
Third
2591
#35
9.70.3
9.49.7
Auto2.0
Teleop6.9
End0.9
red by 0.8
3096
#38
8.91.0
7.98.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
17%Breach oddsMissed17%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed