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Red72
591522.1
45321.7
575617.7
Blue84
28023.6
555518.8
50331.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567620401001207284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5915
#30
22.10.7
18.919.5
Auto8.5
Teleop11.9
End1.7
blue by 9.5
503
#17
31.50.6
28.429.0
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End8.0
Second
453
#14
21.70.7
21.322.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End4.0
blue by 1.9
280
#21
23.60.5
23.624.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End8.1
Third
5756
#26
17.70.7
16.917.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End2.5
blue by 1.1
5555
#19
18.80.6
19.019.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed