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Octofinal 5-22016 Michigan State Championship
Red225
6754.5
2753.4
171843.3
Blue161
309840.4
85843.9
50339.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201153100250225161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#13
54.50.7
54.5→55.2
Auto12.4
Teleop29.7
End12.4
red by 10.6
858
#29
43.90.2
44.1→43.9
Auto8.0
Teleop30.6
End5.3
Second
27
#2
53.40.7
53.4→54.1
Auto13.3
Teleop33.0
End7.1
red by 13.0
3098
#39
40.40.2
40.6→40.4
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End9.2
Third
1718
#72
43.30.7
41.3→42.0
Auto11.2
Teleop27.8
End4.2
red by 3.6
503
#74
39.60.2
39.8→39.6
Auto10.6
Teleop19.0
End10.0