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Octofinal 6-22016 Michigan State Championship
Red132
10743.9
7046.2
365534.7
Blue187
353442.5
49447.4
377036.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15116950100200250300132187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#7
46.20.3
46.5→46.2
Auto15.3
Teleop25.5
End5.5
blue by 1.2
494
#14
47.40.3
46.0→46.3
Auto14.5
Teleop26.6
End6.4
Second
107
#45
43.90.3
44.2→43.9
Auto11.4
Teleop27.9
End4.6
red by 1.5
3534
#20
42.50.3
41.0→41.3
Auto6.7
Teleop22.3
End13.5
Third
3655
#56
34.70.3
35.0→34.7
Auto10.5
Teleop21.6
End2.6
blue by 2.0
3770
#35
36.70.3
35.3→35.6
Auto8.1
Teleop18.6
End10.0