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Octofinal 7-12016 Michigan State Championship
Red175
102347.2
400343.9
511442.4
Blue164
550547.6
368844.1
7438.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1651800100300400175164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#17
47.20.1
47.1→47.0
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.2
blue by 0.4
5505
#23
47.60.3
48.0→47.7
Auto10.1
Teleop26.9
End10.6
Second
4003
#3
43.90.1
43.7→43.7
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End6.5
blue by 0.2
3688
#22
44.10.3
44.5→44.2
Auto11.5
Teleop27.8
End4.8
Third
5114
#66
42.40.1
42.2→42.1
Auto10.3
Teleop25.8
End6.3
red by 3.7
74
#78
38.70.3
39.0→38.8
Auto11.5
Teleop16.5
End10.6