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Final 22016 Michigan State Championship
Red192
546050.1
515040.1
213741.5
Blue107
6754.5
2753.4
608638.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173201100150250300192107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#26
50.10.3
50.0→50.3
Auto9.4
Teleop31.8
End8.8
blue by 4.4
67
#13
54.51.4
56.4→55.0
Auto12.4
Teleop29.7
End12.4
Second
2137
#77
41.50.3
41.4→41.7
Auto16.4
Teleop20.1
End5.0
blue by 11.9
27
#2
53.41.4
55.4→53.9
Auto13.3
Teleop33.0
End7.1
Third
5150
#4
40.10.3
40.0→40.4
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End6.5
red by 1.8
6086
#31
38.31.4
40.3→38.8
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End3.8