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Red97
261131.8
520335.4
544841.1
Blue117
191849.2
400343.9
550232.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9111840608010014016018020097117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5448
#44
41.10.3
32.532.8
Auto13.3
Teleop18.3
End9.6
blue by 8.1
49.20.4
43.343.8
Auto15.0
Teleop26.1
End8.2
Second
5203
#88
35.40.3
29.830.1
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End4.5
blue by 8.5
43.90.4
34.935.3
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End6.5
Third
2611
#95
31.80.3
30.330.6
Auto10.2
Teleop18.0
End3.6
blue by 0.1
5502
#97
32.00.4
32.432.8
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned