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Red126
261936.6
168438.4
515040.1
Blue109
261131.8
213741.5
590731.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11597406080140160180126109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.11.1
38.039.1
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End6.5
blue by 1.4
2137
#77
41.50.4
38.739.2
Auto16.4
Teleop20.1
End5.0
Second
1684
#46
38.41.1
38.539.6
Auto9.2
Teleop22.3
End6.8
red by 6.5
2611
#95
31.80.4
28.629.1
Auto10.2
Teleop18.0
End3.6
Third
2619
#40
36.61.1
33.034.1
Auto11.4
Teleop19.9
End5.3
red by 5.3
5907
#83
31.30.4
29.930.3
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
53%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsMissed