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Qual 1522016 Michigan State Championship
Red132
516632.1
496750.3
365534.7
Blue95
353442.5
587833.8
261936.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131175010015020013295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#6
50.30.8
49.3→50.0
Auto8.7
Teleop35.7
End5.9
red by 7.8
3534
#20
42.51.2
41.3→40.1
Auto6.7
Teleop22.3
End13.5
Second
3655
#56
34.70.8
32.7→33.4
Auto10.5
Teleop21.6
End2.6
blue by 1.8
2619
#40
36.61.2
36.4→35.2
Auto11.4
Teleop19.9
End5.3
Third
5166
#65
32.10.8
28.6→29.3
Auto9.5
Teleop13.9
End8.7
blue by 1.8
5878
#32
33.81.2
35.2→34.0
Auto9.3
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned79%Capture oddsEarned