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Red98
436244.6
505331.7
345240.6
Blue116
261131.8
598041.4
516632.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121101608014016018098116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#18
44.61.1
41.940.8
Auto12.3
Teleop23.4
End8.8
red by 3.2
41.41.0
40.841.8
Auto10.9
Teleop20.4
End10.2
Second
3452
#36
40.61.1
40.539.3
Auto7.8
Teleop27.0
End5.8
red by 8.5
5166
#65
32.11.0
29.330.3
Auto9.5
Teleop13.9
End8.7
Third
5053
#19
31.71.1
32.331.2
Auto8.4
Teleop18.5
End4.9
blue by 0.1
2611
#95
31.81.0
30.831.8
Auto10.2
Teleop18.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
74%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsEarned