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Red91
258635.2
612132.1
6837.0
Blue126
54843.2
205444.7
515040.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9012140608010014016018091126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#79
37.00.1
34.734.7
Auto11.1
Teleop21.5
End4.4
blue by 7.7
2054
#49
44.70.9
39.940.7
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End4.9
Second
2586
#50
35.20.1
29.129.0
Auto11.5
Teleop19.1
End4.7
blue by 8.0
548
#38
43.20.9
37.037.8
Auto11.7
Teleop26.9
End4.6
Third
6121
#81
32.10.1
28.328.2
Auto9.4
Teleop18.3
End4.4
blue by 8.1
40.10.9
36.337.1
Auto10.9
Teleop22.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned