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Qual 1712016 Michigan State Championship
Red102
335742.2
592628.8
171843.3
Blue114
148134.2
341433.1
171128.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12389406080100140160102114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#72
43.30.8
40.8→40.0
Auto11.2
Teleop27.8
End4.2
red by 9.0
1481
#59
34.21.2
32.3→33.5
Auto8.6
Teleop21.5
End4.1
Second
3357
#43
42.20.8
43.8→43.0
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End5.7
red by 9.2
3414
#70
33.11.2
32.1→33.3
Auto13.7
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Third
5926
#99
28.80.8
30.0→29.2
Auto6.7
Teleop13.3
End8.8
red by 0.4
1711
#71
28.41.2
27.0→28.2
Auto10.6
Teleop15.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsEarned