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Red161
362056.3
323437.6
205444.7
Blue110
376728.1
85843.9
438132.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1519550200161110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.31.5
55.957.4
Auto13.0
Teleop37.4
End5.8
red by 12.4
858
#29
43.90.6
42.443.0
Auto8.0
Teleop30.6
End5.3
Second
2054
#49
44.71.5
46.748.2
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End4.9
red by 12.5
4381
#98
32.20.6
31.532.1
Auto9.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
Third
3234
#47
37.61.5
35.737.2
Auto10.3
Teleop18.2
End9.1
red by 9.6
3767
#101
28.10.6
26.727.3
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
54%Capture oddsEarned12%Capture oddsEarned