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Red115
388626.6
277156.6
309840.4
Blue152
191849.2
546050.1
12330.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131130120140150115152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#11
56.61.2
58.757.5
Auto15.2
Teleop36.3
End5.1
red by 6.5
5460
#26
50.11.7
48.450.1
Auto9.4
Teleop31.8
End8.8
Second
3098
#39
40.41.2
41.240.0
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End9.2
blue by 8.9
49.21.7
49.250.9
Auto15.0
Teleop26.1
End8.2
Third
3886
#91
26.61.2
27.726.6
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End4.2
blue by 4.0
123
#82
30.51.7
28.830.5
Auto10.9
Teleop14.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
41%Capture oddsMissed70%Capture oddsEarned