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Qual 212016 Michigan State Championship
Red110
520335.4
171843.3
376728.1
Blue137
309840.4
437737.4
365638.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10697406080120140160180110137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#72
43.30.6
41.5→42.0
Auto11.2
Teleop27.8
End4.2
red by 2.9
3098
#39
40.42.4
29.8→32.3
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End9.2
Second
5203
#88
35.40.6
30.1→30.6
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End4.5
blue by 2.7
3656
#87
38.22.4
32.9→35.4
Auto12.7
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Third
3767
#101
28.10.6
30.2→30.7
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End4.7
blue by 9.3
4377
#55
37.42.4
32.7→35.2
Auto9.0
Teleop19.6
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed