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Red127
361836.1
49447.4
5136.1
Blue120
50339.6
6754.5
6632.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9112120406080100140160180127120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#14
47.41.9
35.937.8
Auto14.5
Teleop26.6
End6.4
blue by 7.0
67
#13
54.50.4
47.547.9
Auto12.4
Teleop29.7
End12.4
Second
3618
#53
36.11.9
30.031.9
Auto15.1
Teleop17.8
End3.1
blue by 3.5
503
#74
39.60.4
39.039.5
Auto10.6
Teleop19.0
End10.0
Third
51
#42
36.11.9
26.928.9
Auto10.6
Teleop20.2
End5.3
red by 3.7
66
#89
32.40.4
27.027.4
Auto7.8
Teleop18.2
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed48%Capture oddsEarned