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Red121
54843.2
260425.8
438444.4
Blue125
550547.6
2753.4
247442.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9313550150200121125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#54
44.41.6
40.842.5
Auto10.3
Teleop27.6
End6.5
blue by 9.0
27
#2
53.40.0
46.946.9
Auto13.3
Teleop33.0
End7.1
Second
548
#38
43.21.6
37.839.5
Auto11.7
Teleop26.9
End4.6
blue by 4.4
5505
#23
47.60.0
41.741.7
Auto10.1
Teleop26.9
End10.6
Third
2604
#73
25.81.6
17.719.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End4.7
blue by 16.4
2474
#12
42.20.0
36.836.7
Auto10.7
Teleop24.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned16%Capture oddsEarned