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Red107
592628.8
516734.2
436244.6
Blue79
468033.4
323437.6
370730.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106962040608012014016010779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#18
44.60.0
42.342.3
Auto12.3
Teleop23.4
End8.8
red by 7.0
3234
#47
37.61.4
34.332.9
Auto10.3
Teleop18.2
End9.1
Second
5167
#51
34.20.0
30.830.8
Auto9.3
Teleop19.5
End5.4
red by 0.9
4680
#93
33.41.4
33.932.6
Auto6.9
Teleop21.3
End5.2
Third
5926
#99
28.80.0
28.328.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.3
End8.8
blue by 2.1
3707
#68
30.81.4
26.324.9
Auto8.3
Teleop18.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed