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Red129
360442.4
400343.9
354837.5
Blue123
511442.4
213741.5
516734.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111115050150200250129123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.91.4
34.335.7
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End6.5
red by 1.6
5114
#66
42.40.8
41.041.7
Auto10.3
Teleop25.8
End6.3
Second
3604
#28
42.41.4
41.142.4
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End12.1
red by 0.9
2137
#77
41.50.8
38.539.3
Auto16.4
Teleop20.1
End5.0
Third
3548
#62
37.51.4
32.934.3
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End5.4
red by 3.2
5167
#51
34.20.8
31.732.5
Auto9.3
Teleop19.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned15%Capture oddsEarned