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Red121
511442.4
520335.4
360442.4
Blue180
102347.2
276749.0
546050.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11514050100200250121180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#28
42.40.0
42.442.5
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End12.1
blue by 7.6
5460
#26
50.12.9
39.942.7
Auto9.4
Teleop31.8
End8.8
Second
5114
#66
42.40.0
41.741.8
Auto10.3
Teleop25.8
End6.3
blue by 6.6
49.02.9
46.549.4
Auto10.8
Teleop30.7
End7.4
Third
5203
#88
35.40.0
31.531.5
Auto9.1
Teleop21.7
End4.5
blue by 11.8
1023
#17
47.22.9
45.848.6
Auto11.8
Teleop27.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned15%Capture oddsEarned