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Red94
125033.1
85843.9
5136.1
Blue103
171843.3
522227.0
354837.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031039510010511011594103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#29
43.90.4
39.639.1
Auto8.0
Teleop30.6
End5.3
red by 0.6
1718
#72
43.30.1
41.441.3
Auto11.2
Teleop27.8
End4.2
Second
51
#42
36.10.4
32.432.0
Auto10.6
Teleop20.2
End5.3
blue by 1.4
3548
#62
37.50.1
34.334.2
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End5.4
Third
1250
#52
33.10.4
28.528.0
Auto6.4
Teleop19.3
End7.3
red by 6.0
5222
#94
27.00.1
24.424.2
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned