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Red89
345240.6
132222.7
213741.5
Blue100
57337.1
509027.7
171843.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107105909510011011512089100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#77
41.51.0
39.638.6
Auto16.4
Teleop20.1
End5.0
blue by 1.8
1718
#72
43.30.5
42.041.5
Auto11.2
Teleop27.8
End4.2
Second
3452
#36
40.61.0
37.736.7
Auto7.8
Teleop27.0
End5.8
red by 3.5
573
#24
37.10.5
30.530.0
Auto10.4
Teleop22.3
End4.4
Third
1322
#102
22.71.0
26.325.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.5
End3.1
blue by 5.0
5090
#100
27.70.5
30.229.7
Auto5.4
Teleop18.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed