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Qual 982016 Michigan State Championship
Red120
7438.7
323437.6
54843.2
Blue149
191849.2
8545.7
335742.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11014850100200250120149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#38
43.20.5
39.7→40.2
Auto11.7
Teleop26.9
End4.6
blue by 6.0
1918
#8
49.20.7
44.6→45.3
Auto15.0
Teleop26.1
End8.2
Second
74
#78
38.70.5
37.1→37.6
Auto11.5
Teleop16.5
End10.6
blue by 7.0
85
#58
45.70.7
45.9→46.6
Auto9.6
Teleop32.2
End3.8
Third
3234
#47
37.60.5
35.4→35.9
Auto10.3
Teleop18.2
End9.1
blue by 4.6
3357
#43
42.20.7
47.6→48.3
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsEarned51%Capture oddsEarned