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Red105
360232.5
439134.6
569224.6
Blue72
550533.7
388625.2
554723.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116103608014016018010572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.2
34.934.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.8
End5.7
red by 1.0
33.70.3
34.033.7
Auto7.2
Teleop20.4
End6.1
Second
32.50.2
32.832.6
Auto8.0
Teleop19.1
End5.4
red by 7.3
25.20.3
25.625.3
Auto7.5
Teleop13.7
End4.0
Third
5692
#20
24.60.2
24.924.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End4.5
red by 0.9
5547
#21
23.80.3
24.123.8
Auto10.4
Teleop8.8
End4.5