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Red74
482722.7
507222.2
159627.0
Blue27
531415.1
437514.6
557514.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6141020801001207427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#11
27.01.4
21.322.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.2
End4.4
red by 11.9
5314
#39
15.12.3
17.815.5
Auto2.2
Teleop12.7
End0.2
Second
4827
#16
22.71.4
14.616.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End3.6
red by 7.9
5575
#27
14.81.4
10.38.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.6
End1.5
Third
5072
#18
22.21.4
20.521.9
Auto9.1
Teleop10.3
End2.8
red by 7.6
4375
#37
14.62.3
14.512.2
Auto6.3
Teleop5.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsEarned34%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed