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Red45
570612.8
388625.2
483522.3
Blue42
607916.7
437629.5
531415.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53690204060801001204542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.0
17.116.1
Auto7.5
Teleop13.7
End4.0
blue by 4.3
29.51.5
26.525.0
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End5.3
Second
4835
#22
22.31.0
16.815.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End2.9
red by 5.6
6079
#34DQ
16.76.2
19.313.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Third
5706
#35
12.81.0
20.119.1
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End-0.2
blue by 2.3
5314
#39
15.12.5
22.119.7
Auto2.2
Teleop12.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed71%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed