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Red79
570921.6
258629.1
521315.5
Blue39
517518.7
598922.2
482722.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635102040801001207939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#19
29.11.3
26.828.1
Auto9.3
Teleop15.8
End4.0
red by 6.4
4827
#16
22.71.4
16.415.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End3.6
Second
5709
#33
21.62.2
17.820.0
Auto3.6
Teleop14.8
End3.2
blue by 0.6
5989
#26
22.21.4
17.516.1
Auto7.2
Teleop12.1
End2.9
Third
5213
#32
15.52.2
14.716.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End2.9
blue by 3.1
5175
#40
18.70.8
17.716.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed