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Red42
570213.3
159627.0
607523.0
Blue72
548623.9
517518.7
90430.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586802040801001204272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#11
27.01.8
27.325.5
Auto6.4
Teleop16.2
End4.4
blue by 3.5
904
#4
30.50.5
26.627.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End7.3
Second
23.01.8
17.415.6
Auto6.4
Teleop12.1
End4.5
blue by 0.8
5486
#29
23.90.5
21.622.1
Auto6.3
Teleop13.7
End3.8
Third
5702
#38
13.31.8
13.511.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End0.8
blue by 5.4
5175
#40
18.70.5
16.817.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed21%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed