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Red75
607523.0
518315.6
598922.2
Blue54
557514.8
388625.2
570213.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4847304060707554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.02.7
16.919.6
Auto6.4
Teleop12.1
End4.5
blue by 2.2
25.20.8
22.623.4
Auto7.5
Teleop13.7
End4.0
Second
5989
#26
22.22.3
16.418.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.1
End2.9
red by 7.3
5575
#27
14.80.5
12.212.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.6
End1.5
Third
5183
#36
15.61.6
12.714.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.8
End1.9
red by 2.3
5702
#38
13.30.8
11.312.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed