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Red37
361727.3
611213.8
437514.6
Blue55
471520.1
570612.8
569224.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53480204060803755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3617
#17
27.31.4
26.124.7
Auto9.3
Teleop12.3
End5.6
red by 2.6
5692
#20
24.60.8
20.421.2
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Second
4375
#37
14.61.4
13.412.0
Auto6.3
Teleop5.8
End2.4
blue by 5.5
4715
#24
20.10.8
15.316.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End5.1
Third
6112
#30
13.81.5
11.610.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.6
End4.1
red by 1.0
5706
#35
12.80.8
11.412.2
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed22%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed