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Red54
587824.8
554723.8
570213.3
Blue70
607916.7
608818.9
550533.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59692040801001205470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5878
#12
24.80.4
23.222.9
Auto6.9
Teleop14.5
End3.4
blue by 8.8
33.70.4
30.931.3
Auto7.2
Teleop20.4
End6.1
Second
5547
#21
23.80.3
23.923.6
Auto10.4
Teleop8.8
End4.5
red by 4.9
6088
#31
18.90.4
18.318.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End3.1
Third
5702
#38
13.30.4
11.511.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End0.8
blue by 3.4
6079
#34
16.70.4
16.116.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed