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Red72
471520.1
482722.7
531415.1
Blue82
570612.8
437629.5
523026.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48700204060801001207282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4827
#16
22.71.8
21.223.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End3.6
blue by 6.8
29.51.2
28.429.6
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End5.3
Second
4715
#24
20.11.8
17.419.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End5.1
blue by 6.7
26.81.4
24.826.3
Auto4.2
Teleop17.7
End4.9
Third
5314
#39
15.11.9
11.613.6
Auto2.2
Teleop12.7
End0.2
red by 2.3
5706
#35
12.81.4
11.112.6
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed