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Red108
49437.9
6834.7
556733.2
Blue105
83027.9
551728.9
370726.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14394050200250108105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#4
37.90.4
38.738.2
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End5.0
red by 9.0
5517
#11
28.90.1
28.728.7
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End3.8
Second
68
#2
34.70.4
35.535.1
Auto10.2
Teleop20.3
End4.2
red by 6.8
830
#21
27.90.1
27.727.7
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End3.8
Third
5567
#27
33.20.4
34.033.6
Auto9.8
Teleop17.3
End6.1
red by 6.7
3707
#13
26.50.1
26.326.3
Auto8.0
Teleop14.4
End4.1