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Red125
30234.7
70327.6
89433.0
Blue126
353635.0
436241.7
366835.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11013450100150200125126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#10
34.70.2
34.434.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.2
End10.6
blue by 7.1
41.70.0
40.440.4
Auto12.0
Teleop23.2
End6.5
Second
894
#14
33.00.2
32.833.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.1
End4.0
blue by 2.1
3668
#25
35.20.0
33.933.8
Auto10.9
Teleop18.8
End5.5
Third
703
#3
27.60.2
27.327.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.5
End5.3
blue by 7.4
3536
#24
35.00.0
33.733.6
Auto11.0
Teleop19.2
End4.7