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Red44
610124.8
20134.9
508623.7
Blue78
46821.2
5128.1
567626.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676740506080901004478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#22
34.91.1
27.726.6
Auto7.3
Teleop21.7
End5.8
red by 6.8
51
#26
28.10.3
26.526.8
Auto8.3
Teleop15.5
End4.4
Second
6101
#36
24.816.8
30.513.7
Auto5.9
Teleop15.4
End3.5
blue by 1.6
5676
#18
26.40.3
20.921.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.0
End4.7
Third
5086
#28
23.71.9
17.815.9
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End3.7
red by 2.5
468
#30
21.20.3
21.721.9
Auto7.0
Teleop10.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed