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Red70
436241.7
571317.6
601117.8
Blue85
107627.4
214521.0
283443.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63932040801001201407085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.3
34.534.8
Auto12.0
Teleop23.2
End6.5
blue by 1.5
43.30.0
39.639.6
Auto10.6
Teleop27.6
End5.1
Second
6011
#37
17.80.3
15.115.4
Auto3.6
Teleop11.8
End2.5
blue by 9.6
1076
#15
27.40.0
27.227.1
Auto8.2
Teleop14.1
End5.1
Third
5713
#39
17.60.3
16.016.3
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End1.8
blue by 3.4
2145
#34
21.00.0
18.718.7
Auto7.8
Teleop9.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed