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Red73
571317.6
456821.3
5128.1
Blue89
567626.4
508623.7
49437.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638420401001201401607389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#26
28.10.6
26.827.4
Auto8.3
Teleop15.5
End4.4
blue by 9.8
494
#4
37.90.3
38.638.9
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End5.0
Second
4568
#31
21.30.6
21.422.0
Auto2.6
Teleop14.6
End4.2
blue by 5.1
5676
#18
26.40.3
21.321.6
Auto6.7
Teleop15.0
End4.7
Third
5713
#39
17.60.6
16.016.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End1.8
blue by 6.1
5086
#28
23.70.6
19.019.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed