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Red70
283443.3
46821.2
564119.5
Blue99
556733.2
438437.9
370726.5
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8410640601201401607099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.3
41.039.7
Auto10.6
Teleop27.6
End5.1
red by 5.4
37.90.0
36.035.9
Auto7.9
Teleop24.2
End5.8
Second
468
#30
21.21.3
22.721.4
Auto7.0
Teleop10.3
End3.8
blue by 12.0
5567
#27
33.20.0
33.733.7
Auto9.8
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Third
5641
#35
19.51.3
20.819.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End3.2
blue by 7.0
3707
#13
26.50.0
29.829.8
Auto8.0
Teleop14.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned