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Red82
5128.1
214521.0
83027.9
Blue112
438437.9
283443.3
456821.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6910640608012014016082112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#26
28.10.3
27.427.7
Auto8.3
Teleop15.5
End4.4
blue by 15.2
43.31.0
39.740.6
Auto10.6
Teleop27.6
End5.1
Second
830
#21
27.90.3
25.726.0
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End3.8
blue by 10.0
37.91.0
35.936.9
Auto7.9
Teleop24.2
End5.8
Third
2145
#34
21.00.3
19.319.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.8
End3.4
blue by 0.3
4568
#31
21.31.0
22.023.0
Auto2.6
Teleop14.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned