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Red65
6834.7
456821.3
601117.8
Blue102
436241.7
523516.5
6747.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6392408010012014065102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#2
34.70.0
30.230.2
Auto10.2
Teleop20.3
End4.2
blue by 13.1
67
#1
47.81.1
39.240.3
Auto9.3
Teleop26.1
End12.5
Second
4568
#31
21.30.0
20.320.2
Auto2.6
Teleop14.6
End4.2
blue by 20.4
41.71.1
33.434.5
Auto12.0
Teleop23.2
End6.5
Third
6011
#37
17.80.0
15.215.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.8
End2.5
red by 1.4
5235
#38
16.51.1
12.613.7
Auto0.8
Teleop11.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned