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Red121
83027.9
283443.3
555930.0
Blue91
366835.2
508623.7
523516.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102692040608012014016012191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.8
42.344.1
Auto10.6
Teleop27.6
End5.1
red by 8.1
3668
#25
35.20.9
31.432.4
Auto10.9
Teleop18.8
End5.5
Second
30.01.8
25.627.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.7
End5.8
red by 6.4
5086
#28
23.71.6
22.524.0
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End3.7
Third
830
#21
27.91.8
26.628.4
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End3.8
red by 11.4
5235
#38
16.50.9
18.119.1
Auto0.8
Teleop11.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed