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Red41
551728.9
571317.6
609114.7
Blue103
283443.3
370726.5
356825.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5910920408010012014016018041103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5517
#11
28.91.6
29.628.0
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End3.8
blue by 14.4
43.30.3
44.144.4
Auto10.6
Teleop27.6
End5.1
Second
5713
#39
17.61.6
19.017.4
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End1.8
blue by 8.9
3707
#13
26.50.3
27.728.0
Auto8.0
Teleop14.4
End4.1
Third
6091
#40
14.71.6
16.514.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End0.3
blue by 10.8
3568
#17
25.50.3
26.526.8
Auto6.2
Teleop14.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsMissed96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned