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Red29
564119.5
609114.7
508623.7
Blue62
601117.8
356825.5
46821.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64684060801002962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5086
#28
23.73.3
26.323.0
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End3.7
blue by 1.8
3568
#17
25.50.2
26.826.6
Auto6.2
Teleop14.8
End4.5
Second
5641
#35
19.52.3
21.919.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End3.2
blue by 1.7
468
#30
21.20.2
20.219.9
Auto7.0
Teleop10.3
End3.8
Third
6091
#40
14.72.3
14.912.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End0.3
blue by 3.1
6011
#37
17.80.2
18.718.5
Auto3.6
Teleop11.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed