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Red100
356825.5
107627.4
49437.9
Blue50
601117.8
564119.5
83027.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9965020408012014010050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#4
37.90.1
37.837.7
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End5.0
red by 10.0
830
#21
27.91.2
28.727.5
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End3.8
Second
1076
#15
27.40.1
26.926.8
Auto8.2
Teleop14.1
End5.1
red by 8.0
5641
#35
19.51.2
20.719.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End3.2
Third
3568
#17
25.50.1
26.626.5
Auto6.2
Teleop14.8
End4.5
red by 7.6
6011
#37
17.81.2
19.017.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed