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Red111
567626.4
20134.9
555930.0
Blue107
542432.0
610124.8
553030.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91804060100120140160111107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#22
34.91.6
33.334.9
Auto7.3
Teleop21.7
End5.8
red by 2.9
5424
#19
32.01.8
30.432.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.8
End8.0
Second
30.01.6
28.329.9
Auto8.6
Teleop15.7
End5.8
blue by 0.4
5530
#16
30.51.8
28.630.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.6
End4.9
Third
5676
#18
26.41.6
25.627.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.0
End4.7
red by 1.6
6101
#36
24.82.4
20.823.2
Auto5.9
Teleop15.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed