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Red96
556733.2
5128.1
610124.8
Blue125
515229.2
30234.7
436241.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85104406012014016096125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5567
#27
33.20.7
33.834.5
Auto9.8
Teleop17.3
End6.1
blue by 8.5
41.71.8
39.341.0
Auto12.0
Teleop23.2
End6.5
Second
51
#26
28.10.7
28.128.9
Auto8.3
Teleop15.5
End4.4
blue by 6.6
302
#10
34.71.8
32.334.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.2
End10.6
Third
6101
#36
24.80.9
23.224.1
Auto5.9
Teleop15.4
End3.5
blue by 4.4
5152
#20
29.21.8
27.028.8
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed