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Red86
353635.0
46821.2
553030.5
Blue124
49437.9
70327.6
7037.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8510620406012014016086124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#24
35.00.0
34.734.7
Auto11.0
Teleop19.2
End4.7
blue by 2.9
494
#4
37.91.6
37.739.3
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End5.0
Second
5530
#16
30.50.0
30.430.4
Auto6.9
Teleop18.6
End4.9
blue by 7.3
70
#8
37.71.6
37.439.0
Auto14.4
Teleop20.4
End3.0
Third
468
#30
21.20.0
20.720.7
Auto7.0
Teleop10.3
End3.8
blue by 6.4
703
#3
27.61.6
25.026.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned